Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.015483 0.017311 0.019154 0.021146 0.023233 0.025349 0.027653
2025-04-13 0.011158 0.013909 0.016818 0.020091 0.023644 0.027359 0.031515
2025-04-20 0.009252 0.012592 0.016253 0.020493 0.025205 0.030226 0.035935
2025-04-27 0.007440 0.011094 0.015250 0.020191 0.025797 0.031869 0.038865
2025-05-04 0.005900 0.009711 0.014211 0.019701 0.026049 0.033024 0.041151
2025-05-11 0.004983 0.008968 0.013827 0.019881 0.026985 0.034876 0.044148
2025-05-18 0.004062 0.008106 0.013218 0.019726 0.027478 0.036180 0.046486
2025-05-25 0.003152 0.007140 0.012397 0.019252 0.027544 0.036952 0.048184
2025-06-01 0.002467 0.006395 0.011793 0.018989 0.027817 0.037927 0.050080
2025-06-08 0.001853 0.005653 0.011133 0.018610 0.027913 0.038667 0.051680
2025-06-15 0.001457 0.005193 0.010812 0.018629 0.028465 0.039918 0.053848
2025-06-22 0.001017 0.004558 0.010196 0.018232 0.028483 0.040521 0.055248
2025-06-29 0.000600 0.003864 0.009496 0.017771 0.028499 0.041225 0.056900
2025-07-06 0.000219 0.002997 0.008452 0.016816 0.027895 0.041203 0.057737
2025-07-13 0.000114 0.002774 0.008393 0.017186 0.028951 0.043164 0.060888
2025-07-20 0.000016 0.002320 0.007894 0.016909 0.029155 0.044077 0.062790
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001856 0.007303 0.016459 0.029109 0.044664 0.064287
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001647 0.007147 0.016624 0.029851 0.046207 0.066911
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001364 0.006800 0.016482 0.030174 0.047221 0.068894
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001034 0.006282 0.016047 0.030085 0.047710 0.070234
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000798 0.005908 0.015807 0.030239 0.048489 0.071913
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000573 0.005485 0.015460 0.030231 0.049052 0.073319
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000451 0.005297 0.015477 0.030713 0.050224 0.075457